Learnings & Assumptions 222

My learnings as solar owner:

  • Daily Production - It’s all about the daily solar production. Even the monthly and yearly solar production numbers look impressive, important is to charge your car and the home battery for the night on a daily basis. As result I started categorizing each day into 0-20 kWh, 20-40 kWh, 40-60 kWh, 60-100 kWh and 100+ kWh buckets.
  • Summer Mode vs Winter Mode - A typical solar system in Germany is oversized during the summer and undersized during the winter. So the HEMS needs to run in different modes.
  • Usage is not predicable - At least for me my usage is not predictable. Mainly the car usage (because it’s the biggest consumer), but also smaller energy consumers like washing machine and so on.
Day Category Daily Production Label
Too low < 20 kWh Red
House only 20+ kWh Orange
House plus 40+ kWh Blue
Charge car 60+ kWh Green
Full charge 100+ kWh Yellow

Today

As mentioned already above the daily solar production is key. I’m categorizing each day into 0-20 kWh, 20-40 kWh, 40-60 kWh, 60-100 kWh and 100+ kWh buckets. The main goal of the Today section is to determine into which bucket goes today’s day.

As reference the Tesla app is only showing today’s Generated kWh:

Today-Tesla-Powerwall.png

The Mobile App of the SMA inverter is showing even a forecast of the next hours and days, but unfortunately the app is not update the forecast data during the day:

Today-SMA.png

A better day to visualize forecasts will be this diagram with a range between best and worst case:

Today-Zaai.png